Omar is being displaced a lot from the air, a dynamic that usually disturbs a task. Melton-Meaux has spent nearly $ 2.1 million on TV ads, compared to Omar’s $ 875,000, according to data compiled by media tracking firm Advertising Analytics. Omar has invested about $ 400,000 in digital advertising but Melton-Meaux has $ 1.5 million in outside help.
A high-spending super-PAC, Americans for the Future of Tomorrow, has also entered the race, spending nearly $ 2.5 million on posters and TV commercials criticizing Omar and strengthening Melton-Meaux. The group had previously contributed to the DMFI PAC – a pro-Israel super PAC that unsuccessfully tried to save Rep. Eliot Engel (DN.Y.) in his infancy with Jamaal Bowman ̵1; and uses Anedot to process payments, a popular Republican firm until recently usurped by WinRed.
Another group has sent out messages urging voters who normally vote Republicans to run in primary Democratic elections and cast ballots for Melton-Meaux. Voters in Minnesota do not register with a political party.
Omar drew the ire of pro-Israel leaders this year when she made comments that many considered anti-Semitic. She once tweeted that Israel had “mesmerized the world” and said pro-Israel lawmakers had a double trust with that country and its own.
The progressive groups, who spent a lot to help Tlaib in her elementary week, have not done much to support Omar. Internal congressional vote from early July showed it with a big lead – but some operatives in the party fear that this primary will be much closer than that of Tlaib.
Will House Republicans elect their most controversial member yet?
Greene, a QAnon conspiracy theorist and businessman, finished 19 points ahead of a June field goal for vacant red safe place retiring Rep. Tom Graves (R-Ga.). But after videos were shown in Greene calling Black people “Democratic Party slaves”, suggesting that Muslims could not serve in government, and calling the Jewish Democrat megadoner George Soros a Nazi – Republicans in Washington and Georgia became more interested. much for John Cowan, who won second place in Tuesday’s runoff.
Recent polls show a close competition and some first-degree lawmakers are angry that no major outside effort has been formed to stop it. A victory by Greene would cause months, if not years, of headaches for the House GOP conference, which just two months ago finally bullied Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa), a member who has long advocated an openness to white nationalism.
Several members of Congress, including the Whip Minority House Steve Scalise (R-La.), Have rallied behind Cowan, raising funds for him and joining him for the Zoom events. But after describing Green’s comments as “terrible” in June, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy is now calling himself neutral – a position that may have alienated outside groups from avoiding spending on Cowan’s behalf. President Donald Trump has also not taken sides in the race.
Cowan has suggested that her victory embarrass the Republican Party and attract other GOP candidates to Georgia. (“She’s not conservative – she’s crazy,” he said in a recent interview.) Greene has not returned to any of the statements she made in her videos. In a recent interview, she went on to support a conspiracy theory that Soros, a Holocaust survivor, turned Jews to the Nazis.
Another runoff in a neighborhood of Georgia’s neighbor, held by GOP Rep. Doug Collins, has seen an increase in foreign spending. Rep. State Matt Gurtler and veteran Andrew Clyde are fighting for the safe and red country. The Growth Club has spent a lot on Gurtler, who has faced criticism during the campaign for posing for a photo with a white supremacist.
The GOP will also elect a potential new Congress member to a red light spot in Wisconsin. Its chairman is State Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald, who has been a leading figure in political and Republican clashes in Madison.
Collin Peterson becomes a challenger
House Agriculture Chairman Collin Peterson (D-Minn.) Has been the Republican white whale for the best part of a decade. Representing a conservative district in western Minnesota, Peterson is in his 15th term after surviving a number of close calls – including in 2016, when he managed to win re-election again despite Trump keeping his circle with 31 points.
Republicans believe Peterson’s fate will end this fall against his predecessor in Tuesday’s primary: Michelle Fischbach, a former state Senate president who briefly served as deputy governor.
They have reason to be optimistic: Fischbach has been observing Peterson for three consecutive quarters. But more than that, they like the environment. Despite Trump’s national battles, he remains popular in the district, and Republicans are backing that political gravity to pull Peterson down.
Peterson voted against bringing the articles of blame against Trump. Joe Biden’s naming is probably good news for Peterson, but he will still face considerable eyes. His once huge winning margins have shrunk to just 4 points in 2018, even against a defenseless competitor.
Fischbach will have to beat four other Republicans, including 2018 nominee Dave Hughes and gastroenterologist Noel Collis, in Tuesday’s primary. Republicans hope Fischbach is the candidate, but they also think Trump is so popular in western Minnesota that he could hold almost anyone to the bottom.
Both sides finalize battlefield matches in Minnesota, Wisconsin
Early Tuesday will cement in November matches for some House races on the outer edges of the map.
In Southern Minnesota, Dan Feehan faces no primary competition and has run into a match with Rep GOP Jim Hagedorn. This rural district is Trump’s place, but Feehan has raised nearly twice as much cash as the mayor and came within a point of his beating in 2018.
In a Twin Cities district that Trump narrowly won, Navy veteran Tyler Kistner is the only Republican to challenge Democrat Angie Craig. A late recruit, Kistner has witnessed a formidable fundraiser – and Republicans think this race could come online. In an adjoining district, health care executive Kendall Qualls is favored at the top of the GPs to take over Deman Phillips. Republicans held this seat before noon 2018, but this is rapidly moving away from them and is not considered a better 2020 choice.
In another district reached in Wisconsin in rural southwest, two Republicans are trying to take over Democratic Ron Kind Republic: Jessi Ebben and Derrick Van Orden. This seat is one of 30 Democratic-held districts that Trump won in 2018, but Kind will be hard to move. He won by 19 points in 2018 and has over $ 3 million in the bank; none of the Republican candidates has more than $ 280,000.
A popular Republican governor in a blue state takes on a challenge
Democrats in bright blue Vermont will choose a candidate Tuesday to face Governor Phil Scott, who is among the few well-known Republican governments in fully democratic states.
Leading candidates in the Democratic four-man constituency are Gov. David Zuckerman and former Secretary of State for Education Rebecca Holcombe, while Scott is expected to easily clear a five-person GOP primary. Zuckerman seems part of a progressive Burlington: Backed by Sanders, the new state senator, he is not technically a Democrat, and he often wears his long hair on one finger.
But anyone coming out of the Democratic primacy will face an uphill election against Scott, despite the fact that the state is credibly liberal for the federal election. Public voting for the November games has been low, but Scott is very popular in the state. A recent VPR / Vermont PBS poll found that 83 percent of respondents approved the governor’s treatment of the pandemic. A VPR / Vermont PBS pre-survey conducted in February found Scott with a high overall approval rating and broad directions over both Democrats in a voting test.
How will voters vote?
The five states that voted Tuesday allowed any voter who wanted an absentee ballot to request one, with elementary school students serving as some of the last dry runs before voting by mail, entering the largest stage in November.
Two of the five states have already been home to meltdowns earlier in the pandemic: Wisconsin spring elections and presidential primary in April and Georgia primary in June, when voters tackled long lines and problems getting ballots. Both contests on Tuesday are expected to have lower turnout than their previous counterparts, and will be a test to see what lessons election administrators have learned.
Another thing to look at: the turnout rate. In four of the five states voting today, ballots must be dealt with by closing polls, regardless of when they were posted. (In Minnesota, ballots can be counted as long as they are posted on Election Day and received by county officials the day before the county canvas.)
In Wisconsin, ballots posted from the April election date were counted as the legal backlash back and forth in the first weeks of the pandemic resulted in a complicated rule-making. This resulted in an additional 79,000 votes added to the ballot paper that would not be counted according to the normal rules – which are in effect for Tuesday’s start in the lower games.