The University of Washington now forecasts that there will be 230,822 American deaths from Covid-19 by November, based on the current scenario.
On July 22, the University Institute for Metrics and Health Assessment (IHME) predicted 219,864 total deaths from the virus as of November.
The latest update reflects an increase of about 11,000 deaths due to an increase in infections and the refusal by some people to wear masks, practice social distancing and take other measures to facilitate the transmission of the virus.
If the US were to adopt universally worn masks, the death toll by November would fall to nearly 198,831, the model predicted. The use of masks is high, but not as high as it should be in all nations. However, there has been an increase in state-worn masks and locations with increased cases and deaths, IHME said.
“If 95% of Americans wore masks every time they left their homes, the infection rate would fall, hospitals would fall, and death prediction would fall,” said Ali Mokdad, a professor of health metrics science. in IHME. “Unfortunately, people let down. Their guard until the media reports the risk of increased infections.”
Some contexts: To date, according to Johns Hopkins University, more than 4.47 million Americans have been diagnosed with coronavirus infections and at least 151,674 have died.
“We would like Americans to guard their guard to reduce the transmission of the virus. We do not have an effective medicine and vaccines are on their way, so prevention is essential.” Mokdad told CNN.