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US Coronavirus: Flock’s immunity efforts would lead to massive death toll



Dr Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, explained the dangers during a live session on Instagram with actor Matthew McConaughey.

“If everyone contracted it, even with the relatively high percentage of people without symptoms … a lot of people would die,” Fauci said.

“You see the United States of America with our obesity epidemic as it was. With the number of people with hypertension. With the number of people with diabetes. If everyone were infected, the death toll would be extremely high and completely unacceptable.” he said.

Herd immunity is achieved when about 70% to 90% of a population becomes immune to a disease either through infection and cure or vaccination. When this happens, the disease is less likely to spread to people who are not immune because there simply are not enough infectious carriers to reach them.

It is not yet clear whether Covid-1

9 survivors have immunity, although some have still suggested that allowing Covid-19 to plow through populations could help achieve herd immunity faster if possible. – but it would be a disaster for hospitals. Doctors would be upset and more people would die, not only from the coronavirus but also from other infections.

A nurse at Emory Hospital takes a nasal swab at the coronavirus test site in Conyers, Georgia.

Tens of thousands of predicted deaths

Coronavirus has killed more than 167,000 people and infected over 5.2 million nationwide, according to Johns Hopkins University.

In the next three weeks, that number will increase to a total of nearly 189,000 projected, according to an ensemble forecast published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

New forecasts released Thursday predict 188,982 deaths by September 5 – with a possible range of 181,375 to 201,431 deaths.

“State and territory ensemble forecasts predict that the number of new deaths reported per week could increase over the next four weeks in Colorado and may decrease in Arizona, the Northern Mariana Islands, Vermont and Wyoming,” the CDC said.

The forecast is based on about two dozen individual forecasts from external institutions and researchers.

Unlike some individual models, the CDC ensemble forecast provides forecasts only about a month in advance. An earlier forecast by the ensemble, published July 23, predicted nearly 164,477 deaths from the coronavirus as of Saturday.

“You can’t escape the numbers,” Fauci said. “You can not escape the number of people who have died, the number of people who have been hospitalized, the levels we are seeing.”

The US has on average over 1,000 reported deaths daily for 18 consecutive days.

College students walk to dinner this week at the University of South Carolina in Colombia.

Georgia records the highest number of deaths since the beginning of the pandemic

Georgia was one of the first states to reopen as it was one of the last to close. This week, it recorded its highest number of deaths since the start of the pandemic.

The state announced 136 deaths Tuesday – mostly in a single day – and an additional 109 deaths Wednesday, according to health officials. His health department reported 2,674 new cases of Covid-19 on Thursday. The virus has killed a total of 4,538 people in the state.

And in North Carolina, the health department said “a mistake” has reduced the overall official number of cumulative coronavirus tests performed since the pandemic began. The number has dropped from 2,044,727 to 1,823,283, said Dr. Mandy Cohen, senior state health official.

The error was due to a discrepancy between the electronic and manual reporting of test data submitted by LabCorp. The error affected the total number of previously reported tests, but did not change the total number of confirmed positive cases, total deaths or the calculation of the positive percentage, the health department said.

On target, the virus may be around for a while, Kansas City, Missouri, is extending the coronavirus state of emergency early next year. Emergency orders will be in effect until at least January 16, 2021.

“It is now clear to everyone that Covid-19 will not go away within the next five months,” said Dr. Rex Archer, director of the city health department.

Feasting at home is like going to a bar, the official says

As the long holiday weekend approaches, officials are warning of social events.

Adm Brett Giroir, a member of the White House coronavirus force group, stressed the need for coronavirus mitigation measures during Labor Day weekend. He urged people to avoid crowds – especially indoors.

“We talk about bars, but if you have a house party with a hundred people in your living room, that’s the equivalent,” he said. He described a crowd of people inside, drinking, talking and not wearing masks a disaster formula.

“What you really need to do – whether you are in a hot area or not – please wear a mask,” Giroir said.

Good hand hygiene is also essential, he said.

CNN’s Steve Almasy, Dakin Andone, Andy Rose, Joe Sutton and Janine Mack contributed to this report.


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